Economy is in a solid position.
Inflation is somewhat above target.
Believe the current stance of policy leaves us well positioned to respond in a timely way.
Moderation in growth reflects a slowdown in consumer spending.
Activity in the housing sector remains weak.
Unemployment is low and has remained in a narrow range.
Wide set of indicators suggests the job market is near maximum employment.
Expects PCE up 2.5% and Core up 2.7% in 12 months through June.
Most measures of longer-run inflation expectations are consistent with the Fed's goal.
Tariffs have exerted pressure on some goods, but the wider impact is uncertain.
See current stance as appropriate to guard against inflation risks.
On track to wrap up policy review by late summer.
We are modestly restrictive.
Economy not behaving as though modestly restrictive policy is holding it back inappropriately.
Expect to have more information in coming months.
We have made no decisions about September.
Statement about uncertainty reflects change since the last meeting; it had not diminished further since the June meeting.
Been a very dynamic time for trade negotiations.
Still a ways away from seeing where things settle.
Many uncertainties are left to resolve.
Feels like there's much more to come.
GDP and PDFP numbers came in right about where we expected them.
If you look at the labour market, by many measures it is still in balance.
Very similar to where they were a year ago, job creation has slowed, but so has the supply of workers.
Demand and supply for workers are coming down at about the same rate.
Downside risks to the labour market are certainly apparent.
Main number you have to look at now is the unemployment rate.
Breakeven number for job creation has come down.
This section below was published at 18:00 GMT to cover the Federal Reserve's policy decisions and the immediate market reaction.
At its July policy meeting, the Federal Reserve held the Federal Funds Target Range (FFTR) steady at 4.25%–4.50%, exactly as markets had anticipated.
Indeed, in a closely divided vote, the Federal Reserve opted to keep interest rates unchanged, offering no clear signal on when borrowing costs might be cut. Two governors—both Trump appointees who share the president's view that policy remains too restrictive—registered their dissent.
The Bank of Japan held its benchmark interest rate steady and raised its inflation outlook more than expected in a sign it may be closer to a rate hike, while continuing to warn that it's still assess...
The Federal Reserve left the federal funds rate steady at the 4.25%–4.50% target range for a fifth consecutive meeting in July 2025, in line with expectations. Policymakers noted that although swings...
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Thursday he continues to believe the U.S. central bank should cut interest rates at the end of this month amid mounting risks to the economy and the...
The emerging divide among Federal Reserve officials over the outlook for interest rates is being driven largely by differing expectations for how tariffs might affect inflation, a record of policymake...
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell resumed two days of congressional testimony on Wednesday, appearing before the Senate Banking Committee after scrutiny before a House panel the day before that...
The Australian Dollar (AUD) remains under pressure against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, giving back most of its earlier gains despite broad weakness in the Greenback following a disappointing Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. The AUD/USD initially...
Oil prices $2 a barrel on Friday because of jitters about a possible increase in production by OPEC and its allies, while a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report fed worries about demand. Brent crude futures settled at $69.67 a barrel, down $2.03,...
The yen has suffered a difficult month, but BCA Research thinks the Japanese currency is primed for a multi-year rally. At 08:30 ET (12:30 GMT), USD/JPY traded 0.2% lower at Y150.49, having earlier in the session climbed as high as Y150.91, the...
Annual inflation in the United States (US), as measured by the change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, rose to 2.6% in...
The STOXX 50 dropped 1.1% and the STOXX 600 declined 0.8% on the first trading day of August, which coincided with the deadline for countries to...
US non-farm payrolls rose by 73,000 in July 2025, after being revised down by 14,000 in June and well below the 110,000 estimate. The upward trend...
According to a report from the US Department of Labor (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment...